{"id":24233,"date":"2025-07-23T13:14:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-23T04:14:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/asiajournaux.com\/?p=24233"},"modified":"2025-07-23T13:42:45","modified_gmt":"2025-07-23T04:42:45","slug":"theriums-multi%e2%80%91million-gambles-expose-structural-risks-in-litigation-finance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/asiajournaux.com\/?p=24233","title":{"rendered":"Therium\u2019s Multi\u2011Million Gambles Expose Structural Risks in Litigation Finance"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Despite raising over \u00a31\u202fbillion in committed capital, Therium&#8217;s aggressive bets in high\u2011risk cases, from the Sabah $15\u202fbillion arbitration to the Post Office scandal, have yielded paltry returns, exposing systemic vulnerabilities in the litigation funding industry.<\/p>\n<p>Manila, Philippine &#8211; An investigation by KnowSulu highlights how Therium, once<br \/>\na litigation funding powerhouse, is scaling back and transferring liabilities<br \/>\namid mounting losses, a cautionary tale for third\u2011party legal finance.<\/p>\n<p><b>Big Capital, Bigger Risks<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Therium amassed over \u00a31\u202fbillion<br \/>\nin committed funding from institutional investors over the past decade. But<br \/>\nthese \u201ccommitted\u201d sums are<br \/>\nlong\u2011term investments, locked into a few protracted, high\u2011stakes cases,<br \/>\nexposing millions to single-case downfall.<\/p>\n<p><b>Litigation Funding Mechanism Under Scrutiny<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Funders back legal claims in exchange for a multiple\u2011of\u2011capital<br \/>\nplus a percentage of recoveries. For instance, Therium structured returns as 3\u00d7<br \/>\nthe investment plus 20% above \u00a3100\u202fmillion<br \/>\nin the HSBC\/ECU case. Yet, when claims fail, funders can even be on the hook<br \/>\nfor pre-investment costs, highlighted in recent UK rulings.<\/p>\n<p><b>Showcase Failures<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Post<br \/>\n     Office Horizon<\/b>: Therium invested around \u00a324million. After reimbursement of its stake,<br \/>\n     funders, and legal fees in the \u00a358million settlement,<br \/>\n     claimants received just \u00a312million collectively,<br \/>\n     barely breaking even.<b>Sabah<br \/>\n     Arbitration<\/b>: Over $20million<br \/>\n     already spent on a $15billion<br \/>\n     claim tied to Sulu heirs, yet enforceability remains uncertain, and<br \/>\n     returns are far from assured.<\/p>\n<p><b>Regulatory Shifts: PACCAR Fallout<\/b><\/p>\n<p>The 2023 UK Supreme Court\u2019s PACCAR decision reclassified<br \/>\nmany litigation finance deals as damages\u2011based agreements (DBAs), subject to<br \/>\nregulation capping recovery at 50% and limiting eligible parties to licensed<br \/>\nlawyers. That has invalidated or weakened many funder agreements.<\/p>\n<p>Funders pivoted to investment\u2011multiple models, yet courts<br \/>\nare scrutinizing even small DBA\u2011style clauses. Therium v Bugsby Property is now<br \/>\ntesting whether they can strip such clauses and still secure payment.<\/p>\n<p>Facing legal uncertainty, concentration risk, and lacklustre<br \/>\nreturns, Therium has scaled back operations and transferred portfolios to<br \/>\nFortress Investment Group. Internal sources indicate the firm now focuses on<br \/>\nmanaging legacy cases rather than launching new ones.<\/p>\n<p><b>What This Means for the Industry<\/b><\/p>\n<p>While litigation finance broadens access to justice,<br \/>\nespecially in group suits, its viability hinges on balancing social impact with<br \/>\ninvestor returns. As UK courts reclassify agreements, enforcement grows murky,<br \/>\nand big\u2011ticket deals underperform, the model\u2019s future credibility is at stake.<\/p>\n<p>Read full article:\u00a0https:\/\/knowsulu.ph\/unforeseen-consequences\/theriums-gamble-how-big-money-still-breeds-big-losses-in-litigation-funding<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Despite raising over \u00a31\u202fbillion in committed capital, Therium&#8217;s aggressive bets in high\u2011risk cases, from the Sabah $15\u202fbillion arbitration to the Post Office scandal, have yielded paltry returns, exposing systemic vulnerabilities in the litigation funding industry. Manila, Philippine &#8211; An investigation by KnowSulu highlights how Therium, once a litigation funding powerhouse, is scaling back and transferring [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":24235,"comment_status":"close","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24233","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-philippines"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/asiajournaux.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24233","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/asiajournaux.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/asiajournaux.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asiajournaux.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asiajournaux.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=24233"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/asiajournaux.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24233\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24234,"href":"https:\/\/asiajournaux.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24233\/revisions\/24234"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asiajournaux.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/24235"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/asiajournaux.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=24233"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asiajournaux.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=24233"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asiajournaux.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=24233"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}